DeSart model in Kansas: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 36.0% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, whereas Trump will win 64.0%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, one should not be too confident the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 56.9% of the two-party vote in Kansas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 7.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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