DeSart model in Kansas: Trump is in the lead
The DeSart model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 36.0% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, whereas Trump will win 64.0%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, one should not be too confident the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 56.9% of the two-party vote in Kansas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 7.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.