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DeSart model: Clinton is in the lead


The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 91.9% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will end up with 8.1%.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be interpreted with caution, because they can contain substantial errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, one should consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 91.0% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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