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North Carolina: Trump and Clinton virtually tied in new Suffolk University poll

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Suffolk University released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from North Carolina were asked for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.

Suffolk University poll results
41

Clinton

44

Trump

According to the results, 41.0% of participants intend to give their vote to former First Lady Hillary Clinton, while 44.0% intend to vote for real estate developer Donald Trump.

The poll was carried out from September 5 to September 7 with 500 likely voters. Taking into account the poll's error margin of +/-4.4 percentage points, the results reflect a statistical tie.

Putting the results in context

Individual polls should be treated with caution, since they often include substantial biases. Rather than relying on results from single polls, the best practice scientific advice is to use combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.

In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, we translate them into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 48.2% for Clinton and 51.8% for Trump.

Comparison to other polls

An average of recent polls in North Carolina sees Trump at 50.7% of the two-party vote. This value is 1.1 percentage points lower than his corresponding numbers in the Suffolk University poll. This margin is within the poll's margin of error, which suggests that the poll is not an outlier.

The poll compared with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 50.1% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. That is, the combined PollyVote is 1.7 points below his polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus in line with the poll's margin of error.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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