Kentucky: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 35.5% for Clinton, and 64.5% for Trump in Kentucky. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to win 64.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they can contain large errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 58.2% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 6.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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