The Jerome model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently predicts a major vote share of 47.2% for Clinton, and 52.8% for Trump in North Carolina. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to win 52.8% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, you should not be too confident the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 50.1% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 2.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the Jerome model.