DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 91.9% for Clinton, and 8.1% for Trump. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 42.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, since they sometimes contain large errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 91.0% of the two-party vote. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 0.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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