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DeSart model in Wyoming: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 25.5% for Clinton, and 74.5% for Trump in Wyoming. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was predicted to collect 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often incorporate substantial errors, and should be treated with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, one should rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 65.1% of the two-party vote in Wyoming. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 9.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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