DeSart model in Vermont: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 66.5% for Clinton, and 33.5% for Trump in Vermont. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to collect only 33.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models can incorporate substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 64.5% of the two-party vote in Vermont. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 2.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Vermont.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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