Talk Business/Hendrix College published the results of a new poll. In this poll, respondents from Arkansas were asked for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.
Talk Business/Hendrix College poll results
Of those who responded, 36.0% said that they intend to vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, while 0.0% said that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.
The poll was conducted . A total of 0 respondents responded.
Putting the results in context
Single polls often include substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
For the following analysis, we convert Trump's and Clinton's raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 43.4% for Clinton and 56.6% for Trump.
Comparison to other polls
If we look at an average of Arkansas polls, Trump's two-party vote share is currently at 64.0%. In comparison to his numbers in the Talk Business/Hendrix College poll Trump's poll average is 7.4 percentage points higher.
The poll compared with PollyVote's prediction
The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 57.9% of the two-party vote in Arkansas. That is, the PollyVote is 1.3 points above his polling numbers.