Wyoming: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead
The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 25.5% for Clinton, and 74.5% for Trump in Wyoming.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be interpreted with caution, as they can include substantial biases. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 65.1% of the two-party vote in Wyoming. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 9.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Wyoming.