West Virginia: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead
The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will receive 33.3% of the two-party vote share in West Virginia, whereas Trump will end up with 66.7%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, one should not have too much confidence in the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 61.1% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 5.6 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.