Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Minnesota were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.
Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon poll results
Of those who answered the question, 48.0% said that they will vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, while 35.0% revealed that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.
The poll was carried out from April 25 to April 27 with 800 registered voters. There is a sampling error of +/-3.5 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.
Putting the results in context
Individual polls often include large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, one can convert them into shares of the two-party vote. The respective figures are 57.8% for Clinton and 42.2% for Trump.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 56.0% of the two-party vote in Minnesota. This means that the combined PollyVote is 1.8 points below her polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's sampling error shows that this difference is insignificant.