Jerome model: Clinton is in the lead

The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 86.4% for Clinton, and 13.6% for Trump.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, you should not have too much confidence in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 91.0% of the two-party vote. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 4.6 percentage points below the combined PollyVote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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