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Hawaii: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will collect 70.1% of the two-party vote share in Hawaii, whereas Trump will win 29.9%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they can incorporate large errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 66.5% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.6 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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