DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 91.9% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will win 8.1%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, don't have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single models, one should look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 91.0% of the two-party vote. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 0.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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