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DeSart model in Kentucky: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 35.5% of the two-party vote share in Kentucky, whereas Trump will win 64.5%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 58.2% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 6.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kentucky.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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