The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 35.5% of the two-party vote share in Kentucky, whereas Trump will win 64.5%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 58.2% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 6.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kentucky.