Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Maryland were asked for whom they will vote: Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton.
Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland poll results
Of those who responded, 63.0% said that they plan to vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, whereas 28.0% revealed that they would give their vote to businessman Donald Trump.
The poll was carried out from March 30 to April 3.
Putting the results in context
Individual polls should be treated with caution, because they can include substantial errors. At least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
For the following analysis, we convert the candidates' raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 69.2% for Clinton and 30.8% for Trump.
Results compared to other polls
If we look at an average of Maryland polls, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 69.0%. This value is 0.2 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland poll.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 64.3% of the two-party vote in Maryland. This means that Polly's combined forecast is 4.9 points below her polling numbers.