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North Carolina: New FOX News poll shows Clinton trailing by 5 points

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FOX News released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from North Carolina were asked for whom they will vote: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.

FOX News poll results
42

Clinton

47

Trump

Of those who answered the question, 42.0% said that they would vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, whereas 47.0% declared that they would give their vote to businessman Donald Trump.

The poll was conducted from September 18 to September 20 among 734 likely voters. If one takes into account the poll's sampling error of +/-3.5 percentage points, the results reflect a statistical tie.

Putting the results in context

Individual polls should be interpreted with caution, as they may incorporate substantial biases. At the very least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

To make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, one can convert them into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 47.2% for Clinton and 52.8% for Trump.

Comparison to other polls

If we look at an average of North Carolina polls, Trump's two-party vote share is currently at 51.0%. Relative to his numbers in the FOX News poll Trump's poll average is 1.8 percentage points worse. This margin is within the poll's margin of error, which means that the poll is not an outlier.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 50.0% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. Hence, Polly's prediction is 2.8 points below his polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's margin of error suggests that this deviation is negligible.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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