The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 46.4% of the two-party vote share in North Carolina, whereas Trump will end up with 53.6%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to collect 53.6% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, you should not have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, the best practice is to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 49.9% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 3.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.