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North Carolina: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 46.4% of the two-party vote share in North Carolina, whereas Trump will end up with 53.6%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to collect 53.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, you should not have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, the best practice is to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 49.9% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 3.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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