The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 35.5% of the two-party vote share in Kentucky, while Trump will win 64.5%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, one should not be too confident the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single models, we recommend to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 58.2% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 6.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.