Kansas: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a major vote share of 36.0% for Clinton, and 64.0% for Trump in Kansas.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they can contain large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, the best practice is to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 56.9% of the two-party vote in Kansas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 7.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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