Jerome model: Clinton is in the lead

The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will receive 86.4% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will end up with 13.6%.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be treated with caution, as they may contain substantial biases. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 91.0% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 4.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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