The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 70.1% for Clinton, and 29.9% for Trump in Hawaii. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 29.9% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, one should not be overly confident the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single models, one should look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 66.6% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 3.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Hawaii.