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DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 91.9% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will win 8.1%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, a good strategy is to not rely too much on the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 91.0% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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