DeSart model in West Virginia: Trump is in the lead
The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 33.3% of the two-party vote share in West Virginia, while Trump will end up with 66.7%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be interpreted with caution, since they can include substantial biases. Rather than relying on results from single models, you should look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The latest PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 61.1% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 5.6 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.