DeSart model in Hawaii: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 70.1% of the two-party vote share in Hawaii, while Trump will end up with 29.9%.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they may incorporate large errors. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 66.6% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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