The 538 (polls-plus) model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 50.9% for Clinton, and 49.1% for Trump. In comparison, on September 20 Trump was still predicted to collect 49.2% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be interpreted with caution, because they often contain large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
If we look at an average of econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 49.7%. This value is 1.2 percentage points lower than corresponding numbers in the 538 (polls-plus) model.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 52.8% of the two-party vote. The results of the 538 (polls-plus) model for Clinton are thus 1.9 percentage points below the combined PollyVote.