Results of a new poll carried out by Elway were announced. The poll asked participants from Washington for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.
Elway poll results
The results show that 43.0% of interviewees are going to cast a ballot for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, whereas 24.0% are going to vote for billionaire Donald Trump.
This poll was conducted from August 9 to August 13, among a random sample of 500 registered voters. The margin of error is +/-4.5 points, which means that the levels of voter support for Clinton and Trump differ significantly.
Putting the results in context
Individual polls should be regarded with caution, as they often include large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, you should consult combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
To make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, we translate them into shares of the two-party vote. This yields figures of 64.2% for Clinton and 35.8% for Trump.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 57.5% of the two-party vote in Washington. Hence, Polly's combined forecast is 6.7 points below her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus outside the poll's sampling error.