Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland published the results of a new poll. In this poll, respondents from Maryland were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.
Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland poll results
The results show that 63.0% of participants said that they would give their vote to former First Lady Hillary Clinton, whereas 28.0% are going to vote for businessman Donald Trump.
This poll was conducted from March 30 to April 3.
Putting the results in context
Single polls can include large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, we recommend to look at combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.
For the following analysis, we translate Clinton's and Trump's raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. This procedure yields figures of 69.2% for Clinton and 30.8% for Trump.
Comparison to other polls
An average of recent polls in Maryland has Clinton at 69.0% of the two-party vote. This value is 0.2 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland poll.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 64.4% of the two-party vote in Maryland. This means that Polly's prediction is 4.8 points below her polling numbers.