Jerome model: Clinton is in the lead

The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 86.4% for Clinton, and 13.6% for Trump.

Putting the results in context

Individual models may incorporate large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 91.0% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 4.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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