Jerome model: Clinton is in the lead
The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 86.4% for Clinton, and 13.6% for Trump.
Putting the results in context
Individual models may incorporate large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 91.0% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 4.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.