DeSart model in Kentucky: Trump is in the lead
The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will garner 35.5% of the two-party vote share in Kentucky, whereas Trump will end up with 64.5%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be treated with caution, as they often include large biases. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 58.4% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 6.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kentucky.