DeSart model in Kentucky: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will garner 35.5% of the two-party vote share in Kentucky, whereas Trump will end up with 64.5%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be treated with caution, as they often include large biases. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 58.4% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 6.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kentucky.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.