Quinnipiac released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from North Carolina were asked for whom they will vote: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.
Quinnipiac poll results
Of those who replied, 47.0% said that they intend to vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, while 43.0% declared that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.
The poll was conducted from August 29 to September 7 with 751 likely voters. The error margin is +/-3.6 points. This means that the poll results for the Democratic and the Republican candidate do not differ significantly.
Putting the results in context
Single polls often incorporate large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
In order to make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, you can convert them into two-party vote shares. This procedure yields figures of 52.2% for Clinton and 47.8% for Trump.
Results in comparison to other polls
An average of recent polls in North Carolina sees Clinton at 50.0% of the two-party vote. In comparison to his numbers in the Quinnipiac poll Clinton's poll average is 2.2 percentage points lower. This margin is within the poll's sampling error, which means that the poll is not an outlier.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 50.1% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. This means that the combined PollyVote is 2.1 points below his polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus within the poll's margin of error.