Field released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from California were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.
Field poll results
The results show that 50.0% of respondents indicated that they are going to vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, whereas 33.0% are going to vote for businessman Donald Trump.
The poll was conducted from September 7 to September 13. A total of 1426 likely voters responded.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, polls are subject to bias. In general, don't be overly confident the results of an individual poll. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, the best practice scientific advice is to look at combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, we convert them into shares of the two-party vote. This procedure results in values of 60.2% for Clinton and 39.8% for Trump. On July 2 Clinton received 67.4% in the Field poll and Trump received only 32.6%.
The poll compared with PollyVote's forecast
The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 61.0% of the two-party vote in California. This means that Polly's combined forecast is 0.8 points above her polling numbers.