Vermont: New Emerson poll shows Trump behind by 21 points

Emerson published the results of a new poll. In this poll, participants from Vermont were asked for whom they will vote: Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton.

Of those who answered the question, 47.0% said that they plan to vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, while 26.0% revealed that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.

The poll was conducted between September 2 and September 5. The sample size was 600 likely voters. There is a sampling error of +/-3.9 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single polls, because they sometimes contain large errors. Rather, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

In order to make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, one can translate them into two-party vote shares. This procedure yields values of 64.4% for Clinton and 35.6% for Trump.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 64.5% of the two-party vote in Vermont. Hence, the PollyVote is 0.1 points above her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus in line with the poll's error margin.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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