Vermont: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 66.5% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, while Trump will win 33.5%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they can contain large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 64.5% of the two-party vote in Vermont. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 2.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Vermont.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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