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North Carolina: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 46.4% of the two-party vote share in North Carolina, whereas Trump will end up with 53.6%. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was predicted to achieve 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be treated with caution, since they often include substantial errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the best practice is to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 49.9% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 3.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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