The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 46.4% of the two-party vote share in North Carolina, whereas Trump will end up with 53.6%. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was predicted to achieve 0.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be treated with caution, since they often include substantial errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the best practice is to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 49.9% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 3.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.