Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Maryland were asked for whom they will vote: Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton.
Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland poll results
The results show that 63.0% of interviewees would vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, whereas 28.0% are going to vote for real estate developer Donald Trump.
The poll was conducted from March 30 to April 3.
Putting the results in context
In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single polls, because they sometimes contain large errors. Rather, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
For the following analysis, we convert Clinton's and Trump's raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. This procedure yields figures of 69.2% for Clinton and 30.8% for Trump.
Comparison to other polls
Looking at an average of Maryland polls, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 69.0%. In comparison to her numbers in the Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland poll Clinton's poll average is 0.2 percentage points lower.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 64.4% of the two-party vote in Maryland. Hence, the PollyVote forecast is 4.8 points below her polling numbers.