Latest Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland poll in Maryland: Trump trails by a huge margin

Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Maryland were asked for whom they will vote: Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton.

The results show that 63.0% of interviewees would vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, whereas 28.0% are going to vote for real estate developer Donald Trump.

The poll was conducted from March 30 to April 3.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single polls, because they sometimes contain large errors. Rather, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

For the following analysis, we convert Clinton's and Trump's raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. This procedure yields figures of 69.2% for Clinton and 30.8% for Trump.

Comparison to other polls

Looking at an average of Maryland polls, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 69.0%. In comparison to her numbers in the Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland poll Clinton's poll average is 0.2 percentage points lower.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 64.4% of the two-party vote in Maryland. Hence, the PollyVote forecast is 4.8 points below her polling numbers.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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