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Latest Clout Research (R) poll in Oregon: Clinton and Trump virtually tied

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Clout Research (R) published the results of a new poll. In this poll, interviewees from Oregon were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.

Clout Research (R) poll results
43

Clinton

40

Trump

According to the results, 43.0% of respondents indicated that they would vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, whereas 40.0% indicated that they would vote for businessman Donald Trump.

The poll was carried out from July 9 to July 13 among 701 likely voters. The margin of error is +/-3.7 percentage points, which means that the poll results for both candidates do not differ significantly.

Putting the results in context

Single polls should be regarded with caution, as they often include substantial biases. At least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

For the following comparison, we convert the candidates' raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. This procedure yields figures of 51.8% for Clinton and 48.2% for Trump.

The poll in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 58.7% of the two-party vote in Oregon. Hence, the PollyVote is 6.9 points above her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus outside the poll's error margin.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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