Hit enter after type your search item

Jerome model in North Carolina: Trump is in the lead

/
/
/
152 Views

The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 47.2% of the two-party vote share in North Carolina, while Trump will win 52.8%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to gain 52.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they can incorporate large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which includes different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 49.9% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 2.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in North Carolina.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

This div height required for enabling the sticky sidebar