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DeSart model in West Virginia: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 33.3% for Clinton, and 66.7% for Trump in West Virginia.

Putting the results in context

Single models often incorporate substantial biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 62.1% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 4.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in West Virginia.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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