DeSart model: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 91.9% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will win 8.1%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, you should not have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the recommended strategy rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 91.0% of the two-party vote. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 0.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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