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Connecticut: New Emerson poll has Trump trailing by 15 points

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Emerson published the results of a new poll. In this poll, interviewees from Connecticut were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.

Emerson poll results
50

Clinton

35

Trump

According to the results, 50.0% of interviewees will cast a ballot for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, whereas 35.0% are going to vote for billionaire Donald Trump.

The poll was conducted from September 2 to September 5 with 1000 likely voters. Taking into account the poll's sampling error of +/-3.0 percentage points, the spread in voter support is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

Single polls should be treated with caution, as they may contain substantial errors. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, the evidence-based approach is to look at combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which incorporates different data.

For the following comparison, we convert Clinton's and Trump's raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. The resulting figures are 58.8% for Clinton and 41.2% for Trump.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 57.0% of the two-party vote in Connecticut. This means that the PollyVote forecast is 1.8 points below her polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's margin of error suggests that this difference is negligible.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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