The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 66.5% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, while Trump will end up with 33.5%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to collect only 33.5% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models often incorporate substantial biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 64.5% of the two-party vote in Vermont. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.0 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.