Vermont: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 66.5% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, while Trump will end up with 33.5%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to collect only 33.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often incorporate substantial biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 64.5% of the two-party vote in Vermont. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.0 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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