Results of a new poll carried out by Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland were announced. The poll asked interviewees from Maryland for whom they will vote: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.
Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland poll results
The results show that 63.0% of respondents will cast a ballot for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, whereas 28.0% would vote for real estate developer Donald Trump.
The poll was conducted from March 30 to April 3.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, one should not focus too much on the results of an individual poll. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, we recommend to look at combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, one can translate them into two-party vote shares. This procedure results in figures of 69.2% for Clinton and 30.8% for Trump.
Results in comparison to other polls
Looking at an average of Maryland polls, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 69.0%. This value is 0.2 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland poll.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 64.4% of the two-party vote in Maryland. That is, Polly's combined forecast is 4.8 points below her polling numbers.