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Kansas: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 36.0% for Clinton, and 64.0% for Trump in Kansas. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was predicted to achieve 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be interpreted with caution, because they often incorporate substantial errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 56.7% of the two-party vote in Kansas. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 7.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kansas.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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