The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will collect 35.5% of the two-party vote share in Kentucky, while Trump will end up with 64.5%. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was predicted to achieve 0.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be interpreted with caution, since they may contain substantial errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 58.3% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 6.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.