DeSart model in Hawaii: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 70.1% for Clinton, and 29.9% for Trump in Hawaii. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 29.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they sometimes contain large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 66.6% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.