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DeSart model: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election result. It currently predicts a major vote share of 91.9% for Clinton, and 8.1% for Trump. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was still predicted to collect 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they may contain large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 91.0% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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