The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 66.5% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, while Trump will end up with 33.5%.
Putting the results in context
Single models can incorporate substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which incorporates different data.
The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 64.5% of the two-party vote in Vermont. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.0 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.