The Trial-heat model published an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 52.1% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will end up with 47.9%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not rely too much on the results of a single econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
Looking at an average of econometric models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 49.8%. In comparison to numbers in the Trial-heat model Clinton's econometric model average is 2.3 percentage points lower.
The Trial-heat model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 52.9% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.8 percentage points more compared to the results of the Trial-heat model.